{ "name": "Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database", "publisher": "Regards of Wallstreet", "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/data/earnings-moves", "methodology": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/data/earnings-moves/methodology", "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "cite_as": "Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet, https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/data/earnings-moves", "definitions": { "implied_move_pct": "straddle-implied move as a percentage of spot, quoted before the release", "realised_move_pct": "signed percentage change from the last close before the release to the close of the reaction session", "ratio": "absolute realised move divided by implied move; above 1 means the print moved further than it was priced to", "strict_quality": "row is clean enough for the strict calibration subset: clean earnings straddle, single-session close, no low-confidence figure" }, "last_updated": "2026-08-05", "generated_at": 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"latestStatus": "awaiting_reaction", "guidance": null }, { "ticker": "TSLA", "company": "Tesla", "events": 1, "resolved": 0, "pending": 0, "medianRatio": null, "meanRatio": null, "beatShare": null, "latestReport": "2026-07-22", "latestStatus": "unresolved", "guidance": null }, { "ticker": "TTD", "company": "The Trade Desk", "events": 1, "resolved": 0, "pending": 1, "medianRatio": null, "meanRatio": null, "beatShare": null, "latestReport": "2026-08-06", "latestStatus": "awaiting_reaction", "guidance": null }, { "ticker": "TTWO", "company": "Take-Two Interactive", "events": 1, "resolved": 0, "pending": 1, "medianRatio": null, "meanRatio": null, "beatShare": null, "latestReport": "2026-08-07", "latestStatus": "awaiting_reaction", "guidance": null }, { "ticker": "UBER", "company": "Uber Technologies", "events": 1, "resolved": 0, "pending": 1, "medianRatio": null, "meanRatio": null, "beatShare": null, "latestReport": "2026-08-05", "latestStatus": "awaiting_reaction", "guidance": null }, { "ticker": "VST", "company": "Vistra", "events": 1, "resolved": 0, "pending": 1, "medianRatio": null, "meanRatio": null, "beatShare": null, "latestReport": "2026-08-07", "latestStatus": "awaiting_reaction", "guidance": null } ], "events": [ { "id": "aapl-fy2026-q4", "ticker": "AAPL", "company": "Apple", "fiscal_label": "FQ4 2026", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-07-30", "issued_event": "aapl-fy2026-q3", "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue-growth", "label": "Revenue growth", "unit": "percent", "low": 9, "high": 11, "consensus": 12, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/why-did-apple-stock-drop-after-earnings", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "The guide that cost Apple its worst session in 16 months: 9% to 11% against the 12% the street had modelled. Consensus above the top of the range is exactly the setup this dataset exists to flag before the print rather than after." }, "articles": [ "why-did-apple-stock-drop-after-earnings" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue-growth", "label": "Revenue growth", "unit": "percent", "low": 9, "high": 11, "consensus": 12, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/why-did-apple-stock-drop-after-earnings", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 10, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": true, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "amd-2026-q3", "ticker": "AMD", "company": "Advanced Micro Devices", "fiscal_label": "Q3 2026", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-08-04", "issued_event": "amd-2026-q2", "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 12.7, "high": 13.3, "consensus": 12.5, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "Guided to $13bn plus or minus $300m against a roughly $12.5bn consensus: management set the bar above the street, which is the opposite of the Palantir shape." }, "articles": [ "amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 12.7, "high": 13.3, "consensus": 12.5, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 13, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "amzn-2026-q3", "ticker": "AMZN", "company": "Amazon", "fiscal_label": "Q3 2026", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Net sales", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 197, "high": 202, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amazon-q2-2026-earnings-breakdown-aws-36-percent", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "The guide implies 9% to 12% growth against the 20% just delivered. A deceleration management published itself, and one the market decided to look past." }, "articles": [ "amazon-q2-2026-earnings-breakdown-aws-36-percent" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Net sales", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 197, "high": 202, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amazon-q2-2026-earnings-breakdown-aws-36-percent", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 199.5, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "app-2026-q3", "ticker": "APP", "company": "AppLovin", "fiscal_label": "Q3 2026", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-08-05", "issued_event": "app-2026-q2", "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 2.055, "high": 2.085, "consensus": 2.068, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, { "metric": "adjusted-ebitda", "label": "Adjusted EBITDA", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.71, "high": 1.74, "consensus": null, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "Issued alongside a quarter that came in at the bottom of its own range, which is what makes the next one worth scoring." }, "articles": [ "applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 2.055, "high": 2.085, "consensus": 2.068, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 2.0700000000000003, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false }, { "metric": { "metric": "adjusted-ebitda", "label": "Adjusted EBITDA", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.71, "high": 1.74, "consensus": null, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 1.725, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "arm-fy2027-q2", "ticker": "ARM", "company": "Arm Holdings", "fiscal_label": "FQ2 2027", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-07-29", "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.33, "high": 1.43, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/arm-fq1-2027-earnings-breakdown-beat-and-ftc-probe", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Adjusted EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 0.43, "high": 0.51, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/arm-fq1-2027-earnings-breakdown-beat-and-ftc-probe", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "Guided to another record on both lines. The stock fell anyway, on an FTC probe that no guidance range can speak to." }, "articles": [ "arm-fq1-2027-earnings-breakdown-beat-and-ftc-probe" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.33, "high": 1.43, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/arm-fq1-2027-earnings-breakdown-beat-and-ftc-probe", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 1.38, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false }, { "metric": { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Adjusted EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 0.43, "high": 0.51, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/arm-fq1-2027-earnings-breakdown-beat-and-ftc-probe", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 0.47, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "cls-2026-q3", "ticker": "CLS", "company": "Celestica", "fiscal_label": "Q3 2026", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-07-29", "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 5.25, "high": 5.55, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/celestica-cls-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-raise", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Adjusted EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 2.88, "high": 3.08, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/celestica-cls-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-raise", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "One of the least covered large beats of the season, and a rare guidance raise in a quarter when component costs were going the other way." }, "articles": [ "celestica-cls-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-raise" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 5.25, "high": 5.55, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/celestica-cls-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-raise", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 5.4, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false }, { "metric": { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Adjusted EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 2.88, "high": 3.08, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/celestica-cls-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-raise", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 2.98, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "msft-fy2027-q1", "ticker": "MSFT", "company": "Microsoft", "fiscal_label": "FQ1 2027", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-07-29", "issued_event": "msft-fy2026-q4", "metrics": [ { "metric": "azure-growth-cc", "label": "Azure growth, constant currency", "unit": "percent", "low": 45, "high": 45, "consensus": 41.4, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/microsoft-q4-fy2026-earnings-breakdown-azure-43-percent", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "A point guide, not a range, and set above an already elevated consensus. Guiding above the street one quarter after accelerating is not what a company with a demand problem does, and it is half the reason the stock had the session it did." }, "articles": [ "microsoft-q4-fy2026-earnings-breakdown-azure-43-percent" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "azure-growth-cc", "label": "Azure growth, constant currency", "unit": "percent", "low": 45, "high": 45, "consensus": 41.4, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/microsoft-q4-fy2026-earnings-breakdown-azure-43-percent", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 45, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "rblx-2026-q3", "ticker": "RBLX", "company": "Roblox", "fiscal_label": "Q3 2026", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-07-30", "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "bookings", "label": "Bookings", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.58, "high": 1.65, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/why-did-roblox-rblx-stock-drop-29-percent-worst-day-ever", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "The first time Roblox has ever guided to negative bookings growth, at 14% to 18% down year over year. The guide, not the quarter, produced the worst session in the company history." }, "articles": [ "why-did-roblox-rblx-stock-drop-29-percent-worst-day-ever" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "bookings", "label": "Bookings", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.58, "high": 1.65, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/why-did-roblox-rblx-stock-drop-29-percent-worst-day-ever", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 1.615, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "sndk-fy2027-q1", "ticker": "SNDK", "company": "SanDisk", "fiscal_label": "FQ1 2027", "report_date": null, "report_timing": null, "reaction_date": null, "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": "2026-08-05", "issued_event": "sndk-fy2026-q4", "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 10.3, "high": 10.8, "consensus": 11.16, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/memory-supercycle-thesis-check", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] } ], "notes": "Consensus of about $11.16bn sits above the top of the guide and needs roughly 24.5% sequential growth against the 15-20% guided. A row where the street is already asking for more than management has promised is a row worth watching." }, "articles": [ "memory-supercycle-thesis-check" ], "notes": "Guidance published; the print is not on the calendar yet. The row scores when the date is confirmed and the quarter is reported.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 10.3, "high": 10.8, "consensus": 11.16, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/memory-supercycle-thesis-check", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our coverage of the print where it was issued" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 10.55, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": true, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "amat-fy2026-q3", "ticker": "AMAT", "company": "Applied Materials", "fiscal_label": "FQ3 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-13", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-14", "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 8.45, "high": 9.45, "consensus": 8.95, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applied-materials-amat-fq3-2026-earnings-preview-august-13", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Adjusted EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 3.16, "high": 3.56, "consensus": 3.36, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applied-materials-amat-fq3-2026-earnings-preview-august-13", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] } ], "notes": "Guided $8.95bn plus or minus $500m and $3.36 plus or minus $0.20, with the street settled exactly on both midpoints. When consensus is the midpoint of the guide, the print is not the event and the next guide is." }, "articles": [ "applied-materials-amat-fq3-2026-earnings-preview-august-13" ], "notes": "No implied move was sourceable for this print, so the row is tracked on the guidance axis only.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 8.45, "high": 9.45, "consensus": 8.95, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applied-materials-amat-fq3-2026-earnings-preview-august-13", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 8.95, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false }, { "metric": { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Adjusted EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 3.16, "high": 3.56, "consensus": 3.36, "confidence": "high", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applied-materials-amat-fq3-2026-earnings-preview-august-13", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 3.3600000000000003, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "crwv-2026-q2", "ticker": "CRWV", "company": "CoreWeave", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-11", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-12", "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 2.45, "high": 2.6, "consensus": 2.56, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/coreweave-crwv-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-11", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] } ], "notes": "Revenue inside the guide is close to a formality here; the number that carries the valuation is the exit run rate, which is guided full-year rather than quarterly and so has no row of its own yet." }, "articles": [ "coreweave-crwv-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-11" ], "notes": "No implied move was sourceable for this print, so the row is tracked on the guidance axis only.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 2.45, "high": 2.6, "consensus": 2.56, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/coreweave-crwv-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-11", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 2.5250000000000004, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "smci-fy2026-q4", "ticker": "SMCI", "company": "Super Micro Computer", "fiscal_label": "FQ4 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-11", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-12", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 18, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-31", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 28.4, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/super-micro-smci-fq4-2026-earnings-preview-august-11", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "super-micro-smci-fq4-2026-earnings-preview-august-11" ], "notes": "Headline revenue and EPS were preannounced, so the straddle is priced almost entirely on the margin disclosure.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 18, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "oklo-2026-q2", "ticker": "OKLO", "company": "Oklo", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-07", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-07", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 13, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 38.83, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/oklo-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-7", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "oklo-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-7" ], "notes": null, "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 13, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "ttwo-fy2027-q1", "ticker": "TTWO", "company": "Take-Two Interactive", "fiscal_label": "FQ1 2027", "report_date": "2026-08-07", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-07", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 7.7, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-31", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 242.92, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/take-two-ttwo-earnings-preview-august-7-gta-6-preorders", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "take-two-ttwo-earnings-preview-august-7-gta-6-preorders" ], "notes": "The preview logged both directions of this name history: a May print that realised 0.2% and a February print reported at 18.3% against a 5.6% implied. Neither of those quarters has a verified row here yet.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 7.7, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "vst-2026-q2", "ticker": "VST", "company": "Vistra", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-07", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-07", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 6.4, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 148.6, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/vistra-vst-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-7", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "vistra-vst-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-7" ], "notes": "Single-source implied.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 6.4, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "abnb-2026-q2", "ticker": "ABNB", "company": "Airbnb", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-06", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-07", "status": "not_tracked", "implied": null, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 3.54, "high": 3.6, "consensus": 3.58, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/airbnb-abnb-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] } ], "notes": "Consensus sits inside the guided range, so the headline is close to pre-agreed and the reaction rides on the unguided lines." }, "articles": [ "airbnb-abnb-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6" ], "notes": "No implied move was sourceable for this print, so the row is tracked on the guidance axis only.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": null, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 3.54, "high": 3.6, "consensus": 3.58, "confidence": "medium", "actual": null, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/airbnb-abnb-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "pending", "midpoint": 3.5700000000000003, "surprisePct": null, "cleared": null, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "ddog-2026-q2", "ticker": "DDOG", "company": "Datadog", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-06", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-06", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 13, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 254.79, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/datadog-ddog-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "datadog-ddog-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6" ], "notes": "The one row where this site bought the straddle rather than passing on it, on the argument that the May print realised roughly 40% against a similar implied.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 13, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "dkng-2026-q2", "ticker": "DKNG", "company": "DraftKings", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-06", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-07", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 9.1, "low_pct": 8.7, "high_pct": 9.5, "kind": "quoted_range", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 23.5, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/draftkings-dkng-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "draftkings-dkng-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6" ], "notes": "Implied quotes conflicted between 8.7% and 9.5%, against an eight-quarter median realised move of 12.6%.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 9.1, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "ttd-2026-q2", "ticker": "TTD", "company": "The Trade Desk", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-06", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-07", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 13, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 18.3, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/trade-desk-ttd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "trade-desk-ttd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-6" ], "notes": "Bought rather than passed, on the argument that the last three prints realised 28 to 37% against implieds nowhere near that.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 13, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "app-2026-q2", "ticker": "APP", "company": "AppLovin", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-05", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-06", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 12.5, "low_pct": 12, "high_pct": 13, "kind": "quoted_range", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 406.16, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.915, "high": 1.945, "actual": 1.92, "consensus": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/08/60971574/applovin-stock-tumbles-on-mixed-q2-results", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "Benzinga" }, { "url": "https://247wallst.com/cards/applovin-corp-q2-2026-earnings-app-01kz9rpa52fcf29ke3rbrktwtb", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "24/7 Wall St" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, { "metric": "adjusted-ebitda", "label": "Adjusted EBITDA", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.615, "high": 1.645, "actual": 1.61, "consensus": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/08/60971574/applovin-stock-tumbles-on-mixed-q2-results", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "Benzinga" }, { "url": "https://247wallst.com/cards/applovin-corp-q2-2026-earnings-app-01kz9rpa52fcf29ke3rbrktwtb", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "24/7 Wall St" } ] } ], "notes": "The only miss on the board so far, and it is a narrow one: revenue landed at the bottom of the range and adjusted EBITDA came in half a point under it. Reported ranges differ slightly by source (some quote $1.92-1.95bn and $1.62-1.65bn), which does not change either verdict. No primary source was indexed at entry, so both metrics sit outside the strict scorecard until the filing is cited." }, "articles": [ "applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5" ], "notes": null, "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 12.5, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.915, "high": 1.945, "actual": 1.92, "consensus": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/08/60971574/applovin-stock-tumbles-on-mixed-q2-results", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "Benzinga" }, { "url": "https://247wallst.com/cards/applovin-corp-q2-2026-earnings-app-01kz9rpa52fcf29ke3rbrktwtb", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "24/7 Wall St" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/applovin-app-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "inside", "midpoint": 1.9300000000000002, "surprisePct": 0, "cleared": true, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false }, { "metric": { "metric": "adjusted-ebitda", "label": "Adjusted EBITDA", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.615, "high": 1.645, "actual": 1.61, "consensus": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/08/60971574/applovin-stock-tumbles-on-mixed-q2-results", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "Benzinga" }, { "url": "https://247wallst.com/cards/applovin-corp-q2-2026-earnings-app-01kz9rpa52fcf29ke3rbrktwtb", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "24/7 Wall St" } ] }, "verdict": "below", "midpoint": 1.63, "surprisePct": -0.3067484662576622, "cleared": false, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 2, "guidanceCleared": false } }, { "id": "dis-fy2026-q3", "ticker": "DIS", "company": "Walt Disney", "fiscal_label": "FQ3 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-05", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-05", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 6, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 98, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/disney-dis-q3-fy2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "disney-dis-q3-fy2026-earnings-preview-august-5" ], "notes": "Single-source implied, which is why the confidence is low and the row is excluded from the headline calibration.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 6, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "lly-2026-q2", "ticker": "LLY", "company": "Eli Lilly", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-05", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-05", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 7.15, "low_pct": 6.9, "high_pct": 7.4, "kind": "quoted_range", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 1121.36, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/eli-lilly-lly-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "eli-lilly-lly-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5" ], "notes": "Quoted in a 6.9 to 7.4% band; the row carries the midpoint and the band, and never the flattering end.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 7.15, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "shop-2026-q2", "ticker": "SHOP", "company": "Shopify", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-05", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-05", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 12.5, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 126.88, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/shopify-shop-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "shopify-shop-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "why-is-shopify-shop-stock-up-today-august-5-2026" ], "notes": "The preview quoted the straddle against a 117.6 intraday tick and later corrected the August 3 close to 126.88, which is the spot recorded here. Pre-market ran more than 15% higher; the close settles it.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 12.5, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "sndk-fy2026-q4", "ticker": "SNDK", "company": "SanDisk", "fiscal_label": "FQ4 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-05", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-06", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 21.25, "low_pct": 17.5, "high_pct": 25, "kind": "quoted_range", "as_of": "2026-08-05", "as_of_session": "prior_close", "spot": 1350.5, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/sndk-earnings-preview-prove-the-shortage", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 7.75, "high": 8.25, "actual": 8.965, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://investor.sandisk.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-results", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "SanDisk earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/262079169-sandisk-sndk-q4-fy2026-revenue-372-percent-record-gross-margin-meet-beat-tradingkey", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "TradingKey" } ] }, { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Non-GAAP EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 30, "high": 33, "actual": 39.25, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://investor.sandisk.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-results", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "SanDisk earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.stocktitan.net/news/SNDK/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-kc0v6ojj1c1u.html", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "StockTitan" } ] } ], "notes": "The largest clearance in the database: revenue 8.7% past the top of its own range and non-GAAP EPS 19% past it. The stock fell anyway, which is the point of keeping the guidance axis and the move axis in the same row." }, "articles": [ "sndk-earnings-preview-prove-the-shortage", "why-is-sandisk-sndk-stock-down-after-earnings" ], "notes": "The widest implied in the database and the least agreed: quotes ran from 17.5% to about 25% depending on the source, so the confidence is low and the row is excluded from the headline figures. The spot is the August 5 regular close.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 21.25, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 7.75, "high": 8.25, "actual": 8.965, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://investor.sandisk.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-results", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "SanDisk earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/262079169-sandisk-sndk-q4-fy2026-revenue-372-percent-record-gross-margin-meet-beat-tradingkey", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "TradingKey" } ] }, "verdict": "above", "midpoint": 8, "surprisePct": 8.937499999999998, "cleared": true, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": true }, { "metric": { "metric": "eps-non-gaap", "label": "Non-GAAP EPS", "unit": "usd_per_share", "low": 30, "high": 33, "actual": 39.25, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://investor.sandisk.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-results", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "SanDisk earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.stocktitan.net/news/SNDK/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-kc0v6ojj1c1u.html", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-05", "label": "StockTitan" } ] }, "verdict": "above", "midpoint": 31.5, "surprisePct": 19.841269841269842, "cleared": true, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": true } ], "guidanceScored": 2, "guidanceCleared": true } }, { "id": "uber-2026-q2", "ticker": "UBER", "company": "Uber Technologies", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-05", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-08-05", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 7.5, "low_pct": 7, "high_pct": 8, "kind": "quoted_range", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 71.6, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/uber-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "uber-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-5" ], "notes": null, "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 7.5, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "amd-2026-q2", "ticker": "AMD", "company": "Advanced Micro Devices", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-04", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-05", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 12.3, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 484.64, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 10.9, "high": 11.5, "actual": 11.54, "consensus": 11.28, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.stocktitan.net/news/AMD/amd-reports-second-quarter-2026-financial-s9qsl4zgkkw3.html", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "AMD earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/08/60931767/amd-delivers-double-beat-in-q2-as-data-center-revenue-more-than-doubles", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "Benzinga" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, { "metric": "gross-margin", "label": "Gross margin", "unit": "percent", "low": 56, "high": 56, "actual": 54, "consensus": null, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview and post-print update" }, { "url": "https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/262074451-amd-q2-2026-earnings-double-beat-stock-falls-tradingkey", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "TradingKey" } ] } ], "notes": "The row that explains the reaction. AMD cleared the top of its own revenue range and still fell, because the margin line came in under the roughly 56% guided. Whether the reported 54% is on the same basis as the guide was not clear at the time, so that metric carries low confidence and stays out of the strict scorecard." }, "articles": [ "amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4" ], "notes": "Straddle quoted at roughly 12.3% of spot against the August 3 close. The first extended-hours reaction ran 9 to 10%, inside the implied; the August 5 close settles the row.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 12.3, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 10.9, "high": 11.5, "actual": 11.54, "consensus": 11.28, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.stocktitan.net/news/AMD/amd-reports-second-quarter-2026-financial-s9qsl4zgkkw3.html", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "AMD earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.benzinga.com/markets/earnings/26/08/60931767/amd-delivers-double-beat-in-q2-as-data-center-revenue-more-than-doubles", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "Benzinga" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "above", "midpoint": 11.2, "surprisePct": 0.35714285714284955, "cleared": true, "beatConsensus": true, "consensusAboveGuide": false, "strict": true }, { "metric": { "metric": "gross-margin", "label": "Gross margin", "unit": "percent", "low": 56, "high": 56, "actual": 54, "consensus": null, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/amd-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview and post-print update" }, { "url": "https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/262074451-amd-q2-2026-earnings-double-beat-stock-falls-tradingkey", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "TradingKey" } ] }, "verdict": "below", "midpoint": 56, "surprisePct": -3.571428571428571, "cleared": false, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": false } ], "guidanceScored": 2, "guidanceCleared": false } }, { "id": "spcx-2026-q2", "ticker": "SPCX", "company": "SpaceX", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-04", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-05", "status": "awaiting_reaction", "implied": { "move_pct": 12.5, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "weekly_straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-31", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": 108.37, "confidence": "low", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/spacex-spcx-first-earnings-preview-august-4", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "spacex-spcx-first-earnings-preview-august-4", "spacex-spcx-q2-2026-first-earnings-results" ], "notes": "The weekly straddle priced two events at once, the first earnings report in the company history and the August 6 unlock of 911.5 million shares, so it is not a clean earnings implied and never enters the headline figures. The stock also rose 9.4% into the print on August 4, before anyone saw the number.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 12.5, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "pltr-2026-q2", "ticker": "PLTR", "company": "Palantir Technologies", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-08-03", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-08-04", "status": "resolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 12.5, "low_pct": 10, "high_pct": 15, "kind": "quoted_range", "as_of": "2026-08-03", "as_of_session": "intraday", "spot": 123, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/palantir-pltr-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-3", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview, trade log row 1" } ] }, "realised": { "prior_close": 125.65, "reaction_close": 162.66, "move_pct": 29.46, "basis": "close_to_close", "precision": "exact", "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/04/palantir-2q-earnings-ai-sovereign-tools.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "CNBC" }, { "url": "https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2026/08/04/palantir-pltr-surges-30-in-largest-single-day-gain-since-2024-fueled-by-ai-growth/", "type": "other", "date": "2026-08-04", "label": "FX Leaders" } ] }, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.797, "high": 1.801, "actual": 1.935, "consensus": 1.81, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260802523449/en/Palantir-Reports-Q2-2026-U.S.-Comm-Revenue-Growth-of-149-YY-and-Revenue-Growth-of-93-YY-Raises-FY-2026-Revenue-Guidance-to-82-YY-Growth-and-U.S.-Comm-Revenue-Guidance-to-134-YY-Crushing-Consensus-Expectations", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-03", "label": "Palantir earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/03/palantir-pltr-earnings-q2-2026.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-08-03", "label": "CNBC" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/palantir-pltr-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-3", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] } ], "notes": "The textbook case for tracking the guide separately from the street. Consensus of $1.81bn sat above the top of the company own $1.797-1.801bn range before a share was traded, so \"beat consensus\" and \"beat the guide\" were two different bars, and Palantir cleared both by a distance." }, "articles": [ "palantir-pltr-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-3" ], "notes": "The straddle this site passed on would have paid roughly 2.4x its own priced move. Prior close and reaction close multiply out to +29.46%, which matches CNBC reporting the session as a 29% gain.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 12.5, "realisedPct": 29.46, "absRealised": 29.46, "ratio": 2.3568000000000002, "surprisePp": 16.96, "beatImplied": true, "direction": "up", "strict": true, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue", "label": "Revenue", "unit": "usd_billions", "low": 1.797, "high": 1.801, "actual": 1.935, "consensus": 1.81, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260802523449/en/Palantir-Reports-Q2-2026-U.S.-Comm-Revenue-Growth-of-149-YY-and-Revenue-Growth-of-93-YY-Raises-FY-2026-Revenue-Guidance-to-82-YY-Growth-and-U.S.-Comm-Revenue-Guidance-to-134-YY-Crushing-Consensus-Expectations", "type": "primary", "date": "2026-08-03", "label": "Palantir earnings release" }, { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/03/palantir-pltr-earnings-q2-2026.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-08-03", "label": "CNBC" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/palantir-pltr-q2-2026-earnings-preview-august-3", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "above", "midpoint": 1.799, "surprisePct": 7.448582545858818, "cleared": true, "beatConsensus": true, "consensusAboveGuide": true, "strict": true } ], "guidanceScored": 1, "guidanceCleared": true } }, { "id": "aapl-fy2026-q3", "ticker": "AAPL", "company": "Apple", "fiscal_label": "FQ3 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-30", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-31", "status": "resolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 4, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-27", "as_of_session": "prior_session", "spot": 324, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/apple-options-flow-earnings-implied-move", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our options-flow piece: a 4% implied move against a 1% one-year average" } ] }, "realised": { "prior_close": null, "reaction_close": 308.91, "move_pct": -7.3, "basis": "close_to_close", "precision": "approximate", "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-30/apple-s-sales-disappoint-in-china-unit-services-business", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "Bloomberg: worst decline in 16 months" }, { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/apple-earnings-live-updates.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "CNBC" } ] }, "guidance": { "issued_at": null, "issued_event": null, "metrics": [ { "metric": "revenue-growth", "label": "Revenue growth", "unit": "percent", "low": 14, "high": 17, "actual": 16.4, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-30/apple-s-sales-disappoint-in-china-unit-services-business", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "Bloomberg" }, { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/apple-earnings-live-updates.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "CNBC" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/apple-aapl-fq3-2026-earnings-july-30-tim-cook-final-call", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] } ], "notes": "A quarter reported everywhere as a beat that landed squarely inside the range Apple had already published. Consensus had parked itself in the middle of that range, which is why beating it was worth so little and the September guide decided the session instead." }, "articles": [ "apple-options-flow-earnings-implied-move", "why-did-apple-stock-drop-after-earnings" ], "notes": "The extended-hours reaction was 7.8%; the regular-session close on July 31 was 308.91, about 7.3% lower. The row scores the close. Apple was the clearest case of a straddle priced off a placid one-year average meeting a quarter that was not placid.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 4, "realisedPct": -7.3, "absRealised": 7.3, "ratio": 1.825, "surprisePp": 3.3, "beatImplied": true, "direction": "down", "strict": true, "guidance": [ { "metric": { "metric": "revenue-growth", "label": "Revenue growth", "unit": "percent", "low": 14, "high": 17, "actual": 16.4, "consensus": null, "confidence": "high", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-30/apple-s-sales-disappoint-in-china-unit-services-business", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "Bloomberg" }, { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/apple-earnings-live-updates.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "CNBC" }, { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/apple-aapl-fq3-2026-earnings-july-30-tim-cook-final-call", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "verdict": "inside", "midpoint": 15.5, "surprisePct": 0, "cleared": true, "beatConsensus": null, "consensusAboveGuide": null, "strict": true } ], "guidanceScored": 1, "guidanceCleared": true } }, { "id": "meta-2026-q2", "ticker": "META", "company": "Meta Platforms", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-29", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-30", "status": "resolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 7, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/meta-earnings-preview-q2-2026", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview: \"options price plus or minus 7%\"" } ] }, "realised": { "prior_close": 585.61, "reaction_close": null, "move_pct": -8.6, "basis": "close_to_close", "precision": "approximate", "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/microsoft-msft-meta-stock-today-earnings.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "CNBC: Meta sinks 8%" }, { "url": "https://www.tradingkey.com/news/market-movers/262064624-market-movers-meta-20260730", "type": "other", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "TradingKey: down 8.61%" } ] }, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "meta-earnings-preview-q2-2026", "meta-q2-2026-earnings-breakdown-eps-miss-capex", "is-meta-a-buy-after-earnings-drop-july-2026" ], "notes": "Prior close of 585.61 is the July 29 regular-session close published in our own coverage. The extended-hours print on the night was near 5%, and the reaction session went further: the row scores the close, not the evening.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 7, "realisedPct": -8.6, "absRealised": 8.6, "ratio": 1.2285714285714284, "surprisePp": 1.5999999999999996, "beatImplied": true, "direction": "down", "strict": true, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "msft-fy2026-q4", "ticker": "MSFT", "company": "Microsoft", "fiscal_label": "FQ4 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-29", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-30", "status": "resolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 4, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/msft-earnings-preview-q4-fy2026", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview: \"the market prices only a plus or minus 4% move\"" } ] }, "realised": { "prior_close": 390.54, "reaction_close": null, "move_pct": 15, "basis": "close_to_close", "precision": "approximate", "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/30/microsoft-msft-meta-stock-today-earnings.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "CNBC: Microsoft jumps 15%" }, { "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-30/microsoft-eyes-history-with-490-billion-pop-in-market-value", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "Bloomberg: 16%, biggest one-day value gain on record" } ] }, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "msft-earnings-preview-q4-fy2026", "why-is-microsoft-stock-up-today-azure-backlog-capex-relief" ], "notes": "Sources split between 15% (CNBC, TradingKey) and 16% (Bloomberg), so the row carries 15% as the lower, safer figure and the ratio is quoted as approximate. Our own coverage published 9.5%, which was a mid-morning snapshot rather than the close: the row records the session, not the snapshot.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 4, "realisedPct": 15, "absRealised": 15, "ratio": 3.75, "surprisePp": 11, "beatImplied": true, "direction": "up", "strict": true, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "skhy-2026-q2", "ticker": "SKHY", "company": "SK Hynix", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-29", "report_timing": "before_open", "reaction_date": "2026-07-29", "status": "resolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 10, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/meta-earnings-preview-q2-2026", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our late-July implied-move board" } ] }, "realised": { "prior_close": null, "reaction_close": null, "move_pct": -9.6, "basis": "local_listing", "precision": "approximate", "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/29/sk-hynix-earnings-profit-revenue-hbm-memory.html", "type": "tier1", "date": "2026-07-29", "label": "CNBC: closed 9.6% lower after falling as much as 15%" }, { "url": "https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2026/07/30/SKhynix-record-earningss-stock-falls/6621785408055/", "type": "other", "date": "2026-07-30", "label": "UPI" } ] }, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "skhy-q2-2026-earnings-miss-whisper-was-right", "meta-earnings-preview-q2-2026" ], "notes": "The realised figure is the Seoul-listed ordinary share, which is where the print was traded; the implied was quoted for the US-listed ADR. Different instruments, so the row is excluded from the headline calibration and shown for context. The closest the board came to pricing a print correctly all season.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 10, "realisedPct": -9.6, "absRealised": 9.6, "ratio": 0.96, "surprisePp": -0.40000000000000036, "beatImplied": false, "direction": "down", "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "intc-2026-q2", "ticker": "INTC", "company": "Intel", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-23", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-24", "status": "unresolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 8, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/intc-earnings-preview-lowest-bar", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "intc-earnings-preview-lowest-bar", "intc-q2-2026-earnings-breakdown", "is-intel-a-buy-after-earnings-pop" ], "notes": "Our coverage recorded a 9% pop without labelling the session, and outside reporting on both the implied move and the quarter itself conflicts with what this site published. Both numbers need re-sourcing before the row scores.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 8, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "googl-2026-q2", "ticker": "GOOGL", "company": "Alphabet", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-22", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-23", "status": "unresolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 5, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/googl-earnings-preview-q2-2026", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "googl-earnings-preview-q2-2026", "googl-q2-2026-earnings-review-search-cloud-anthropic" ], "notes": "Our review described the reaction as a shrug without publishing a percentage, and no close-to-close pair for July 23 has been sourced since. The row stays open rather than borrowing the 4.2% extended-hours print, which is a different measurement.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 5, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "now-2026-q2", "ticker": "NOW", "company": "ServiceNow", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-22", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-23", "status": "unresolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 8, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/now-earnings-preview-software-on-trial", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "now-earnings-preview-software-on-trial" ], "notes": "Implied logged in the preview; no realised move was ever published or sourced. A logged expectation with no outcome is exactly the gap this database exists to make visible.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 8, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "tsla-2026-q2", "ticker": "TSLA", "company": "Tesla", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-22", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-23", "status": "unresolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 11, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/tsla-earnings-preview-july-22", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "tsla-earnings-preview-july-22", "tsla-q2-2026-earnings-margin-collapse-robotaxi", "tsla-post-earnings-collapse-july-24" ], "notes": "Reports of the July 23 session range from 12.0% to 14.5% down and cannot be reconciled against a single verified pair of closes, so no realised figure is published. Our own coverage recorded a 3% extended-hours dip on the night and roughly 16% from the pre-earnings close by July 24. The direction is not in doubt; the magnitude is, and an unverified magnitude does not enter this database.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 11, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } }, { "id": "sofi-2026-q2", "ticker": "SOFI", "company": "SoFi Technologies", "fiscal_label": "Q2 2026", "report_date": "2026-07-21", "report_timing": "after_close", "reaction_date": "2026-07-22", "status": "unresolved", "implied": { "move_pct": 9, "low_pct": null, "high_pct": null, "kind": "straddle", "as_of": "2026-07-16", "as_of_session": "prior_week", "spot": null, "confidence": "medium", "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/news/sofi-earnings-preview-retail-favorite", "type": "other", "date": null, "label": "Our preview" } ] }, "realised": null, "guidance": null, "articles": [ "sofi-earnings-preview-retail-favorite" ], "notes": "Implied logged in the preview at a retail-inflated plus or minus 9%; no realised move was ever published or sourced.", "revisions": [], "derived": { "impliedPct": 9, "realisedPct": null, "absRealised": null, "ratio": null, "surprisePp": null, "beatImplied": null, "direction": null, "strict": false, "guidance": [], "guidanceScored": 0, "guidanceCleared": null } } ] }