Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

BABA: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Alibaba Group print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

0.22x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

0%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

FQ1 2027

Scored

Reported 2026-08-20 (before open) · reaction session 2026-08-20

Implied
±5.7%
struck about a week out, 2026-08-14
Realised
+1.3%
close to close
Ratio
0.22x
-4.4% vs priced
Rolling
0.22x
after 1 scored

128.9 to 130.53

Two different moves came out of this print and the database records the session. Close to close over the reaction session the stock rose 1.26%, far inside the 5.7% implied. Our own scoring quoted 5.43%, which is the move from the August 14 spot the trade log was struck against six sessions earlier, not the reaction session, and it graded the straddle against that. Both numbers are right about different things; the calibration question is the 1.26%.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closes

Our Coverage

BABA rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database