COHR: Expectations vs Outcomes

Not on the calendar yet

No implied move was quoted for this print, so it is tracked on the guidance axis only.

Issued with the August 12 fiscal Q4 print. The bottom of the revenue range, $2.2bn, is 7.5% above the $2,046m the company had just reported, so management guided sequential growth rather than a flat quarter.

Guidance published at the fiscal Q4 print; Coherent has not yet confirmed a date for this quarter. The row gains its date, and then its implied move, as they are confirmed.

Coherent fiscal Q4 2026 earnings release, outlook section

Reported 2026-08-12 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-13

Implied

±14.8%

struck about a week out, 2026-08-07

Realised

-8.0%

close to close

Ratio

0.54x

-6.8% vs priced

Rolling

0.54x

after 1 scored

The range was set at the May 6 Q3 release and never revised, so it is the range in force. Revenue of $2,046m landed inside it by $4m, four tenths of a percent under the top, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.74 cleared the top by two cents. Both figures also cleared the street, which had $1.65. The stock fell 7.99% the next session anyway.

355.64 to 327.23

The release landed after the August 12 close, so the prior close is that day's 355.64 and the reaction is August 13: down 7.99% to 327.23 against a 14.8% implied. Our preview quoted 343.00, off 3.55%, in after-hours trade at 5:47pm ET; the next session took it more than twice as far. Non-GAAP EPS of 1.74 dollars cleared the top of the company's own 1.52 to 1.72 guide and the stock still fell, which is the pairing this dataset exists to make visible. The implied was struck three sessions before the print, so the ratio is indicative.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closesCoherent fiscal Q3 2026 release, where the Q4 range was setCoherent fiscal Q4 2026 earnings releaseCoherent investor relations, the same release