Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

EAT: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Brinker International print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.27x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

FQ4 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-12 (before open) · reaction session 2026-08-12

Implied
±8.7%
struck an earlier session, 2026-08-07
Realised
+11.1%
close to close
Ratio
1.27x
+2.4% vs priced
Rolling
1.27x
after 1 scored

221.38 to 245.89

This is the clearest snapshot error the archive contains. Our preview updated before the open with shares near 226 in premarket and scored both passes correct on a move well inside the 8.7% implied. The stock then closed at 245.89, up 11.07% from 221.38, outside the implied in the other direction, because the FY27 guide arrived on the 10:00am ET call rather than in the release. A premarket read on a company that guides on the call is not the print. One wire account puts the close at 245.71 against the exchange series 245.89, a difference of 0.08 percentage points on the move and not enough to change the verdict.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closesStockStory: shares closed at 245.71, up 11%, after jumping 12.3% in the afternoon

Our Coverage

EAT rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database