Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

ETOR: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked eToro Group print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.46x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-11 (before open) · reaction session 2026-08-11

Implied
±9.4%
struck an earlier session, 2026-08-07
Realised
-13.7%
close to close
Ratio
1.46x
+4.3% vs priced
Rolling
1.46x
after 1 scored

34 to 29.33

Our preview left this one open, saying reported closes put the reaction anywhere from about 32.35 down to 29.12. The exchange series settles it: 34.00 to 29.33, a fall of 13.74%, and the widely quoted 8.2% to 31.20 was an early-session read rather than the close. The straddle this preview passed on needed 9.4% and the close alone cleared it, which makes the pass the most expensive call in the piece. The implied covered an August 21 expiry, ten days past the print, so the row sits outside the strict subset.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closesDaily close series: 34.00 to 29.33, down 13.74%

ETOR rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database