Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-09-30

FN: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Fabrinet print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.61x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

FQ4 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-17 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-18

Implied
±12.0%
struck an earlier session, 2026-08-14
Realised
-19.4%
close to close
Ratio
1.61x
+7.4% vs priced
Rolling
1.61x
after 1 scored

598.58 to 482.59

The preview passed on an at-the-money August 21 straddle at roughly 12% of spot, quoted off the August 14 close of 570.22 rather than the 598.58 the stock closed at on the day of the print. The reaction session settled at 482.59, a 19.38% fall and about 1.6 times the implied. The preview's own update put the drop at 18.37% as of 10:39am ET, which it labelled an intraday read; the session closed lower than that, so there is no conflict with the published figure. The after-hours move on the evening of August 17 was 6.94% to 557.01, a quarter of what the next session did.

Our preview, trade logstockanalysis.com daily close table: 598.58 on 2026-08-17, 482.59 on 2026-08-18Yahoo Finance daily chart series, an independent feed agreeing to the cent on both closesQuote read for August 19: 454.55, down 28.04 or 5.81%, which reconciles to a 482.59 close on August 18

Our Coverage

FN rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database