Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

LLY: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Eli Lilly print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

0.68x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

0%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-05 (before open) · reaction session 2026-08-05

Implied
6.9-7.4%
struck an earlier session, 2026-08-03
Realised
+4.9%
close to close
Ratio
0.68x
-2.3% vs priced
Rolling
0.68x
after 1 scored

1115.68 to 1169.86

Quoted in a 6.9 to 7.4% band; the row carries the midpoint and the band, and never the flattering end. Resolved on the August 5 close: 1115.68 to 1169.86, a rise of 4.86% on the same-session reaction. Our own update called the session about 4% and one earnings tracker published 4.9% to a 1168.19 close; the exchange closes give 4.86% and that is what the row scores. Either way the move landed inside the implied.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closesCNBC: Eli Lilly Q2 2026 earnings

Our Coverage

LLY rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database