Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-09-30

MRCY: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Mercury Systems print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

0.22x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

0%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

FQ4 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-18 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-19

Implied
±16.0%
struck about a week out, 2026-08-14
Realised
-3.6%
close to close
Ratio
0.22x
-12.4% vs priced
Rolling
0.22x
after 1 scored

105 to 101.25

The reaction session closed 3.57% lower, from 105.00 to 101.25, against a 16% implied move. The preview scored its straddle pass against a 10-12% after-hours read, which the session did not deliver: the selling arrived a day later, and the stock closed at 94.23 on August 20, making the two-session move from August 18 minus 10.26%. That is the figure the after-hours quote was pointing at, and it is not what this row measures. The ratio of 0.22x is the reaction session only.

Our preview, trade logstockanalysis.com daily close table: 105.00 on 2026-08-18, 101.25 on 2026-08-19Yahoo Finance daily chart series, an independent feed agreeing to the cent on both closesIndependent read: closed 101.25 on August 19, down 3.75 or 3.57%

Our Coverage

MRCY rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database