Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

NVDA: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Nvidia print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.51x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

FQ2 2027

Scored

Reported 2026-08-26 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-27

Implied
±5.8%
struck about a week out, 2026-08-20
Realised
+8.7%
close to close
Ratio
1.51x
+2.9% vs priced
Rolling
1.51x
after 1 scored

209.66 to 227.98

The August 28 weekly chain was sourced six days out at 5.8%, against a 4.8% twelve-quarter realised average, and the preview passed on buying the event on that arithmetic. The August 27 close settles it at 209.66 to 227.98, a rise of 8.74%, so the print cleared its implied by half again and the pass was wrong. The implied was struck six sessions ahead, so the ratio here is indicative rather than a clean prior-close read.

moomoo: August 28 weeklies priced 5.8%Our preview, trade log row 4Nasdaq historical closesKiplinger: shares jumped 8.7%

Our Coverage

NVDA rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database