Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

OKLO: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Oklo print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.14x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-07 (before open) · reaction session 2026-08-07

Implied
±13.0%
struck an earlier session, 2026-08-03
Realised
+14.8%
close to close
Ratio
1.14x
+1.8% vs priced
Rolling
1.14x
after 1 scored

42.19 to 48.42

Resolved on the August 7 close: 42.19 to 48.42, a rise of 14.77% on the same-session reaction to a before-open release, against a 13% implied. Published figures for the day span 7.63% to 16% because the stock climbed through the session, so the row carries the two closes and the confidence is medium on the reporting rather than on the closes. Groves reaching first criticality, not the loss per share, is what the session paid for.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closesMotley Fool: shares surged more than 10% on first criticality

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OKLO rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database