Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-05

PLTR: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Palantir Technologies print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

2.36x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

100%

1 scored metric, 0 outstanding

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-03 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-04

Implied
10-15%
struck intraday, 2026-08-03
Realised
+29.5%
close to close
Ratio
2.36x
+17.0% vs priced
Rolling
2.36x
after 1 scored
Q2 2026 guidance against the printed figures
GuidedRangePrintedVerdict
Revenue$1.797bn to $1.801bn$1.935bnAbove

The textbook case for tracking the guide separately from the street. Consensus of $1.81bn sat above the top of the company own $1.797-1.801bn range before a share was traded, so "beat consensus" and "beat the guide" were two different bars, and Palantir cleared both by a distance.

125.65 to 162.66

The straddle this site passed on would have paid roughly 2.4x its own priced move. Prior close and reaction close multiply out to +29.46%, which matches CNBC reporting the session as a 29% gain.

Our preview, trade log row 1CNBCFX LeadersPalantir earnings releaseCNBC

Our Coverage

PLTR rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database