Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

SHOP: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Shopify print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.36x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-05 (before open) · reaction session 2026-08-05

Implied
±12.5%
struck an earlier session, 2026-08-03
Realised
+17.0%
close to close
Ratio
1.36x
+4.5% vs priced
Rolling
1.36x
after 1 scored

123.3 to 144.24

The preview quoted the straddle against a 117.6 intraday tick and later corrected the August 3 close to 126.88, which is the spot recorded here. Pre-market ran more than 15% higher; the close settles it at 123.30 to 144.24, a rise of 16.98%, above the 12.5% implied. Note for the owner: the exchange series puts the August 3 close at 117.01, not the 126.88 the preview's correction note asserts, so the implied spot on this row is the one figure here that two sources do not agree on.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closesMotley Fool: Shopify closed 144.24, up 16.98%

Our Coverage

SHOP rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database