Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-05

SPCX: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked SpaceX print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

n/a

mean of 0 scored prints

Beat the straddle

n/a

of 0 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Awaiting the close

Reported 2026-08-04 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-05

Implied
±12.5%
struck about a week out, 2026-07-31
Realised
n/a
not yet measured
Ratio
n/a
Rolling
n/a
after 0 scored

The weekly straddle priced two events at once, the first earnings report in the company history and the August 6 unlock of 911.5 million shares, so it is not a clean earnings implied and never enters the headline figures. The stock also rose 9.4% into the print on August 4, before anyone saw the number.

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SPCX rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database