Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-05

META: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Meta Platforms print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.23x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-07-29 (after close) · reaction session 2026-07-30

Implied
±7.0%
struck about a week out, 2026-07-16
Realised
-8.6%
close to close
Ratio
1.23x
+1.6% vs priced
Rolling
1.23x
after 1 scored

Prior close of 585.61 is the July 29 regular-session close published in our own coverage. The extended-hours print on the night was near 5%, and the reaction session went further: the row scores the close, not the evening.

Our preview: "options price plus or minus 7%"CNBC: Meta sinks 8%TradingKey: down 8.61%

META rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database