Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-27

NU: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Nu Holdings print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

1.20x

mean of 1 scored print

Beat the straddle

100%

of 1 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

One scored print is not a track record. A rolling ratio only starts meaning something after several quarters, and this name has 1. Read the row, not the average.

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Scored

Reported 2026-08-13 (after close) · reaction session 2026-08-14

Implied
±7.8%
struck about a week out, 2026-08-07
Realised
+9.3%
close to close
Ratio
1.20x
+1.5% vs priced
Rolling
1.20x
after 1 scored

13.93 to 15.23

The August 14 close of 15.23 against 13.93 is a rise of 9.33%, past the 7.8% implied. The preview argued a company with a 0.4% median EPS surprise would land inside its implied move and passed on the straddle for that reason; what moved the stock was a 100 basis point fall in the risk-adjusted net interest margin, which the EPS line does not carry. The implied was pricing the credit disclosure.

Our preview, trade logNasdaq historical closes

Our Coverage

NU rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database