Earnings move database · CC BY 4.0 · Updated 2026-08-05

TSLA: Expectations vs Outcomes

Every tracked Tesla print on both axes: what the straddle charged going in against what the stock did coming out, and what management guided against what the company printed.

Rolling ratio

n/a

mean of 0 scored prints

Beat the straddle

n/a

of 0 scored prints

Cleared its guide

n/a

no guidance tracked

Print by Print

Q2 2026

Unresolved

Reported 2026-07-22 (after close) · reaction session 2026-07-23

Implied
±11.0%
struck about a week out, 2026-07-16
Realised
n/a
not yet measured
Ratio
n/a
Rolling
n/a
after 0 scored

Reports of the July 23 session range from 12.0% to 14.5% down and cannot be reconciled against a single verified pair of closes, so no realised figure is published. Our own coverage recorded a 3% extended-hours dip on the night and roughly 16% from the pre-earnings close by July 24. The direction is not in doubt; the magnitude is, and an unverified magnitude does not enter this database.

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TSLA rows from the Implied vs Realised Earnings Move Database, Regards of Wallstreet. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Methodology · Full database